Consensus Estimates

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Scandinavian Tobacco Group - Consensus Estimates
Updated: May 10, 2022
Contributors: Barclays, Carnegie, Deutsche Bank, DNB and Nordea

* EPS adjusted for special items and fair value adjustments and currency gains/losses on financial items, net of tax
               
DKK million Q1 2021A Q1 2022E   2021A 2022E 2023E 2024E
               
- North America Online & Retail 564 554   2,620 2842 2906 2943
- North America Branded & RoW 693 704   2,877 2946 2994 3114
- Europe Branded 626 638   2,735 2757 2717 2682
Net Sales 1,883 1896   8,233 8546 8617 8739
               
- North America Online & Retail 99 94   470 523 540 560
- North America Branded & RoW 274 268   1,135 1152 1174 1208
- Europe Branded 179 179   754 787 782 768
- Group costs -24 -25   -126 -104 -106 -111
EBITDA before special items 527 516   2,233 2357 2390 2426
               
Special items -17 -21   -55 -120 -28 0
               
EBIT 419 415   1,814 1940 1986 2049
Net profit 324 314   1,391 1443 1479 1520
               
Adjusted EPS * 3.4 3.5   14.8 16.5 17.3 17.9
Dividend Per Share       7.5 7.8 8.5 8.6
               
Free Cash Flow before acquisitions 89 147   1,393 1385 1508 1578
Net interest bearing debt 3,390 3273   3,266 3175 3005 2498
               
Net sales, organic growth 12.5% -2.7%   4.5% 0.0% 0.5% 0.5%
EBITDA, organic growth 49.1% -3.5%   18.4% 2.3% 1.0% 0.9%
* EPS adjusted for special items and fair value adjustments and currency gains/losses on financial items, net of tax